Manny “Pac-Man” Pacquiao VS Antonio “Tijuana Tornado” Margarito: Prediction

» 10 November 2010 » In Boxing, Guide, People »

Manny “Pac-Man” Pacquiao VS Antonio “Tijuana Tornado” Margarito: Prediction

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The fight that no one wanted, Manny Pacquiao VS Antionio Margarito will take place at Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, TX, Saturday, November 13th at 9 p.m. ET/6 p.m. PT on HBO PPV.

First off, how did Margarito even get this fight?

Oh yeah, I forgot, Pacquiao and Margarito both share the same promoter, Top Rank. Bob Arum gets high marks for craftyness and greed on this one. But let’s not get me started about the politics of boxing, let’s discuss the fight:

Manny Pacquiao VS Antionio Margarito, if I am not mistaken, is going to be fought at a catch weight of 150 pounds. On paper, this shouldn’t be much of an issue as Margarito has fought almost all of his career at welterweight. However, although Margarito seems to be in great shape, he is sparing in a rubber suit and seems pretty damn skinny.

Freddie Roach and Manny Pacquiao have a history of negotiating these catch weights that leave their opponents drained. So goes the benefits of being the biggest or second biggest star in the sport.

I have to think that Roach knows that this weight will drain Margarito and make him an easy target for “The Bruce Lee” of boxing. Why else would they pick Margarito to fight, besides the aforementioned Top Rank issue, and the fact that Margarito will bring in the Mexican fans and PPV buys in droves?

On the plus side for Margarito is that he is super durable with a great chin (at least until Sugar Shane Mosley cracked it). He also is a vicious body puncher and has great uppercuts from both sides, a punch that Manny is susceptible to be hit with.

On the negative side for Margarito, aside from a huge disadvantage in foot speed and hand speed, is that he has the habit of not returning his gloves to his face after he throws punches. This could prove deadly for him as Manny’s punches come from crazy angles and loco levels.

He also tends to throw his hooks a little wide, so Pac-Man will be able to shoot shots up the middle. Look for Manny to shoot hooks between Margarito’s gloves (ie shooting the punch straight and hooking at the last moment. A jab/hook fusion of sorts).

But the worst thing Margarito seems to have going for himself is that he seems to be sponsored by Affliction or Ed Hardy or one of those extremely gay t-shirt companies. There has seemed to be an “Affliction Shirt Curse” as everyone that wears one seems to lose. And I am not just talking about all the weesh guys that wear them out to nightclubs either. (see Hatton I think, Margarito, and some other fools that are escaping me at the moment).

HBO’s 24/7 is really playing up the storyline that Manny is “distracted” during training with his other commitments like being a Congressman in the Phillipines and helping other Politicians get re-elected like Democrat Harry Reid.

I am not sure if I buy it. Still, high marks for HBO on a great storyline as 24/7 remains the best show on television. (Although, the show lacks a little punch without Floyd Mayweather, Jr.)

Combos to watch for
Watch for Margarito to throw the jab, then step right, throw a straight right, left hook, then left jab, straight right combo. Margarito does this kind of throwing off the wrong foot thing and moving forward very well.

Watch for the Pacquiao’s right jab to body, straight left at an upward angle and right hook combo. And watch him skip turn out of harm’s way. This could be the knockout punch.

The Fight
I think Manny will chop up Margarito like some meat in some kaldereta and the fight will look something of a fusion between Pac-Man VS Ricky “The Hitman” Hatton and Pac-Man VS Miguel Cotto. With a stoppage coming somewhere around rounds 6-8.

It is in the realm of possibility that Margarito will put up a very inspired performance, damage Pac to the body, and simply be too rugged and big for Pacquiao. But I don’t see that happening.

The thing is, Pacquiao’s in-out, in-out combo, in-out combo routine is so tough to deal with. Margarito will catch Pac with some counters, but for every counter he does catch Manny with, Pacquiao’s in-out attack will be doing far more damage.

Pac’s speed and superior movement, and “turning the corner” on Margarito will be more than he can deal with. The template is there for Pacquiao. Cotto showed how to beat Margarito (minus the plaster fists) and so did Sugar Shane. If Mosley hadn’t already cracked Margarito’s jaw, it might be a different story.

I learned a long time ago, you don’t bet against fighters that only come around once in your lifetime (ie Pacquiao, Mayweather, Sugar Ray Leonard, Marvelous Marvin Hagler, Tommy Hearns, Roberto Duran etc). Margarito is not one of those fighters.

However, I have been around the Fight Game long enough to know that anything can happen.

Anyone seen Buster Douglas lately?

Hell, someone might have plaster in their gloves, a person could parachute in the ring, one fighter could bite another’s ear, water bottles could be drugged or entourages could start a full scale melee in the ring.

And that alone is enough to make me shell out the $54 dollars, or whatever the hell they are heisting, to watch.

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The Rest is Up to You…

Michael Porfirio Mason
AKA The Peoples Champ
AKA The Sly, Slick and the Wicked
AKA The Voodoo Child
The Guide to Getting More out of Life

Manny Pacquiao Highlights

Antonio Margarito Highlights

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8 Comments on "Manny “Pac-Man” Pacquiao VS Antonio “Tijuana Tornado” Margarito: Prediction"

  1. The G Manifesto
    11/11/2010 at 12:08 am Permalink

    Great analysis of Saturday’s fight Michael. I definitely think that the story lineabout Manny being distrated is pure fiction. It for selling tickets and to a lesser degree, putting false hope in Margarito’s head. The only place I disagree with you is that I think Margarito will hang on for 8-10 rounds…that overlaps with your 6-8 so I’m really just splitting hairs on that. The bottom line is that Manny wins it by knockout. Good job.

  2. The G Manifesto
    11/11/2010 at 8:41 am Permalink

    I really like Antonio Margarito, so for his sake I hope the beatdown Pacquiao doesn’t turn him into an alcoholic cokehead. Like some former opponents.

  3. The G Manifesto
    Jack Frost
    12/11/2010 at 11:01 am Permalink

    Need Pacman to win this fight (theres no way Arum is letting Manny lose this fight) so it gives Floyd some more time to blow his dough so we can get the fight everyone wants. If they ever do end up fighting who you think wins it?

    Just re read “Entering the Dragon” and had to shout it out on my page. With that being said I’m off to get a few miles in before I attack Vegas tonight.

  4. The G Manifesto
    13/11/2010 at 3:09 am Permalink

    hahaha..manny will win this fight..

  5. The G Manifesto
    13/11/2010 at 11:38 pm Permalink

    I went to a fight and an operation broke out. Manny was like a surgeon tonight cutting with cold steady precision. The speed, the multiple angles of attack, the beautiful footwork, the ridiculous accuracy; it was all there tonight as Manny Pacquiao put on an absolute boxing clinic. Margarito never had a chance.

    And in a classy move Manny spared Antoniothe final indignity of a lnockout, which he coul hav done anytime during the final two rounds and instead allowed him to finish the fight. It was an astonishing performance.

    I am starting to see why Mayweather is avoiding ths fight: It may well be the only way to dodge Pacman.

  6. The G Manifesto
    14/11/2010 at 8:40 pm Permalink

    amazing fight… bring on money mayweather vs. pacman the fight we all want to see.

  7. The G Manifesto
    Ramon Enrique
    16/11/2010 at 12:57 am Permalink

    Great fight, Great Prediction. Saw the fight at Tiffany’s (Tijuana). But anyways, about Margarito wearing that affliction, ed hardy shit…i gotta drop some knowledge.

    In the U.S. this style is considered douchebag at its peak. But South of the border, thats different. Since 2007, all the heavy dope boys from sinaloa and later tijuana stopped moving in silence and decided to be flashy about everything. Loud cars, loud guns, loud jewelry, and eventually loud clothes.
    Picture dapper dan’s, harlem, 80’s but with rhinestones. Lame, i know.

    The uniform went like this:
    -Rhinestone Trucker Hat
    -Rhinestone shirt
    -Gold and Black diamond rosary or Santa Muerte
    -Gold and Black diamond bracelet
    -Designer Jeans
    -Designer belt with .45 tucked in
    -Exotic Boots or Dress Shoes

    And these werent the just young cats either, im talking bosses wore this shit.
    (google “mochomo” or “manuel torres felix”)

    Therefore, its only natural that the tijuana tornado would wear a style that is linked to the ruthlessness of his city. “TJ, a sunny place for shady people”

    Kinda makes you miss the family, especially the brothers, im talking arellano, huh mpm? Suits and guns.

    Still, ive grown to appreciate this style. makes a target for a standover easier to spot. Shiny marks get handled, marie antoinette style.

    Peace from Coronado Island – Ramon Enrique


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