Marc Faber: Real Estate Investing and Renting Out Rooms To Concubines
Listen to this whole interview or start listening at 2:45
Marc Faber: “I was in Phoenix the other day, and then the taxi driver took me to a nice hotel, The Fairmont, and then he told me about how the person he drove right before me told him that he just bought a 5 bedroom house for $120,000. Where in the world can you buy a 5 bedroom house for $120,000 (good question?).
I would buy it, live in one bedroom and rent out 4 bedrooms to concubines!”
Ingrid Casares & Chris Paciello Back in Biz with The Light Group at the Delano?
If you believe the rumors, South Beach is about to go retro, back to the days when people actually danced at clubs, when real celebrities came to party because they wanted to and not for a carefully orchestrated, trite tabloid photo op, and when the words South Beach and hip together in the same sentence was anything but oxymoronic. That’s right, we have excellent sources telling us that the Captain and Tennille of 90s Miami nightlife, Chris Paciello and Ingrid Casares, are teaming up again, this time as partners in the food and beverage operations at the Delano left recently vacant by Jeffrey Chodorow, who was bought out by the hotel’s owners, Morgans Hotel Group, for $20 million.
Chris Paciello back on South Beach scene at Delano
For the first time since he was released from federal prison five years ago, Miami Beach’s fallen nightscape overlord has returned to where it all started.
Chris Paciello, now 40 and described by some who have run into him as “subdued and humbled,” is settling down at the Delano Hotel.
He’ll be living there for the next few months as he works to give back to the legendary beachside resort its No. 1 ranking among hipsters and celebrities.
Deja view: Mixed reviews on the return of Chris Paciello
Ever since we broke the news that old school South Beach club guy Chris Paciello was returning to his old stomping grounds and possibly reuniting with his former partner Ingrid Casares in the nightlife biz, the reactions have been as polarizing as the Tea Party vs. the Democrats only, instead of tea, it would be vodka. On one side you have the champions, cheerleaders and aging club kids who can overlook his past and subscribe to the Nostalgia Party (there’s already a Chris Paciello Fan Club and “Chris Paciello, The King Is Back” page on Facebook), while on the other side you have those who say it’s just wrong to glorify the return of someone with a criminal past—we’ll call them the Concerned Party. Both sides will argue back and forth over this until the lights come on in the new Light Group-sanctioned Delano hot spot, so there’s really no end to the debate.
Some say people are jealous or nervous that the reunion of the team some say made South Beach the nightlife capital it once was will ruin their own businesses, and others say that people are downright nervous in general, not for business purposes, but for reasons involving personal safety. It’s no secret Paciello had a violent past, for which he has served time in prison. It’s no secret that he had enemies, some who still live and work on South Beach. We spoke to nightlife veteran Gerry Kelly, currently serving as marketing and nightlife operator at Trio On the Bay, who worked with Paciello and wasn’t exactly BFF with the guy back in the day. “I was surprised to hear he was returning to Miami,” Kelly admitted. “I do believe we all learn from our experiences in life. Miami’s nightlife and entertainment culture has changed so much since the late 90s that we all have to adapt and change to keep up with the never ending new trends. The city is definitely big enough for everyone and I wish him the best.”
‘Limelight’: The Rise And Fall Of The Church Of Rave
On Friday, a documentary ostensibly about the rise and fall of a one time club king named Peter Gatien opened in New York (it opens around the country next month). In the early to mid-1990s – the height of rave culture in the U.S. – Gatien owned the biggest clubs in New York City, including Limelight, which lived in a deconsecrated Episcopal Church in the Chelsea neighborhood. Today Gatien lives in Toronto, where he was deported in 2003 after pleading guilty to tax evasion. And Limelight has become a mall. It calls itself a “Festival of Shops.”
Much of the story told in Limelight will be familiar to readers of Clubland, a book chronicling mid-’90s nightlife written by Frank Owen, who covered Limelight at its height and followed its scandalous end in the pages of local alternative weekly the Village Voice. It certainly was to the documentary’s director, Billy Corben, who read the book as he was pursuing another documentary about the man who ran the biggest club in Miami in the mid-’90s. Owen appears frequently as a kind of expert witness in Limelight.
“I had read Clubland because of our interest in Chris Paciello and Liquid in South Beach, and the Miami angle,” says Corben, best known for 2006’s Cocaine Cowboys. Corben and producing partner Albert Spellman still intend to make a movie about Paciello. But first, they’ve made Limelight, which focuses on Gatien, the eye-patched Canadian nightclub impresario who owned Limelight, Palladium, Tunnel and Club U.S.A., who was brought to trial by the City of New York under mayor Rudolph Giuliani’s mid-’90s crime crackdown, alleging that Gatien was overseeing a massive drug ring in his clubs.
Jim Rogers breaks down commodities from an old interview.
Jim Rogers : Missing out on Commodities?
Matthew Bradbard’s daily commodity round up:
Brace for the Fed as we expect it to be a market mover. Indecision in the oil market as prices close virtually unchanged today. If we fail to make a new contract high in the next few sessions we should resume the set back we’ve been forecasting, in June that would be a trade over $114.05. A settlement below the 20 day MA should confirm a move lower but before either scenario happens we’re just guessing, that level is $108.90 in June WTI. We suggest the sidelines in natural gas willing to be a seller on a spike higher. We cut losses for clients that still held bear put spreads in the June ES; it resulted in a loss of approximately $400/per position including fees.
Crude oil prices have been rising. Do you see supply constraints on mounting pressure from West Asia or speculation?
Of course, it’s supply constraints. Libya has closed down some of its oil production, while Egypt is having problems with its production. There are turmoils in many countries and this is causing supply problems.
These may be temporary problems, but the world, in the mean time, is losing some of its inventory. So, if there is calm and peace tomorrow, we may have oil go down for a while, but the basic problem that the world is running out of known oil reserves continues.
What is your medium-term outlook on crude oil?
Crude oil will continue to go higher, though there can be intermittent corrections. The price of oil is going to continue to rise for years to come.
The dollar index has fallen almost 6 per cent in the past three months. Do you feel that the dollar is losing its appeal as the reserve currency?
Yes, it is an ongoing process. The correction has been severe. But, that is going to happen with the US dollar, as it continues to lose its status as the reserve currency. It is a terribly flawed currency.
Are you investing in other currencies? Which is your favourite and why?
The renmibi is my favourite currency. China has a gigantic balance of trade surplus, and it is the largest creditor nation in the world.
It has a lot of things going for it. Clearly, a currency that can and will go up is the renmibi.
The Chinese are trying to hold it down now, rightly or wrongly. And, I think it is a mistake to try to hold it down. But, the renmibi is the currency that has to appreciate a lot in the next few years.
The bull run has just begun in agricultural commodities. How long do you see that lasting?
I am very bullish on agricultural commodities, probably more than other class of commodities. My favourite agri-commodity is rice.
What is your outlook for gold and silver?
I own both gold and silver and I am neither selling nor buying these two precious metals at current levels.
This week, there are supposedly going to be mass demonstrations/protests in Saudi Arabia. If this happens, gold and silver prices will surge and I will then buy. So, I am not buying gold and silver right now, but I am certainly not selling.
After the recent correction, how are you viewing the Indian equities?
I am just watching. I have sold/short emerging markets and emerging market (EM) ETFs.
EMs have been one of the most exploited sectors of the market in the last two-three years. I have sold/short emerging market and I am not buying any markets anywhere except commodities.
This is a great book about quite possibly the greatest stock speculator of all time, Jesse Livermore. Perhaps more importantly, Livermore was a dashing financier and bigtime Playboy. He was also a Sharp dresser and Entered The Dragon as well:
“Jesse Livermore walked into the casino dressed in white tie and tails. Livermore enjoyed clothes. The tails had been custom made for him in England. He had four sets made several years before, and they remained unaltered. Livermore’s weight never varied.”
Great trading and gambling philosophy is explained in the book that unfortunately for Livermore all ended in tears.
“Only speculate if you can make it a full time job. Don’t take tips of any kind, no matter where they come from—don’t worry about catching the tops or bottoms, it’s a fools play. Keep the number of stocks to a controllable number. It’s hard to herd cats and it’s hard to track a lot of securities. Take your losses quickly and don’t brood about them, try to learn from them but mistakes are as inevitable as death—and only make a big move, a real big plunge, when the highest number of factors is in your favor, the highest probability for success is present.”
This book is written by the writer of Confessions of an Economic Hitman, John Perkins. Perkins is a smart cat, and also an International Playboy, so like most smart cats and International Playboys, he is worth listening to. He give a good breakdown of the Corporatocracy, gives solutions that we must follow or we will be ruined.
A woman tells him:
“Stop being so greedy, and so selfish. Realize there is more to the world than your big houses and fancy stores. People are starving and you worry about oil for your cars. Babies are dying of thirst and you search the fashion pages for the latest styles. Nations like ours are drowning in poverty, but your people don’t even hear our cries for help. You shut your ears to the voices of those who try to tell you these things. You label them radicals or Communists. You must open your hearts to the poor and downtrodden, instead of driving them further into poverty and servitude. There’s not much time left. If you don’t change, you’re doomed.”
This is a book by G, Jim Rogers, the swashbuckling traveler and legendary investor to his two young daughters.
“Understand this: If everyone saw himself as a citizen of the world rathter than of his town, city or country, the world would be a more peaceful better place where success in all forms is abundant and available to all. That’s not to say that we can’t be patriotic and love our country. But we must always be open to those who are different, because people from different backgrounds have much to teach us and vice versa.”
“Probably the best advice I can give to anyone, anywhere in the world is to have your children and grandchildren learn Mandarin. For their generation, Mandarin and English will be the most important languages in the world.”
This book is about Jim Rogers’ Guinness Book of World Records trip around the world. He gives a great breakdown of the world and continually drops investment gems:
“I differentiate between trading and investing. Traders are the short-term guys, and some of them are spectacular at it. I am hopeless at it—perhaps the world’s worst trader. I see myself as an investor. I like to buy things and own them forever. And what success I have had in investing has usually come from buying a stock that is very cheap or that I think is very cheap. Even if you are wrong, when buying something cheap you are probably not going to lose a lot of money. But buying something simply because it is cheap is not good enough—it could stay cheap forever. You have to see a positive change coming, something that within the next two or three years everybody else will recognize as a positive change.”